Market Pulse tracks the rhythm of the market and highlights when its behavior begins to move away from normal conditions. As the pulse rises, market pressure and abnormal volatility increase. It is an early-warning signal.
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Can We See the Future Before It Happens?
They say the future cannot be predicted. Perhaps that is true. But maybe the real question is not whether we can “predict” the future, but whether we can recognize the signals of the future before they become obvious to everyone else.
Nature gives us fascinating examples of this idea. Some animals can sense subtle environmental changes and vibrations before an earthquake occurs—changes that human beings may not even notice. They do not necessarily know that an earthquake will happen a few seconds later, but their sensory systems respond to a combination of signals that are invisible to us.
Medicine offers another example. A cardiologist does not simply look at a patient's physical condition. They read an electrocardiogram—the ECG. To an untrained eye, it may look like nothing more than a series of lines and waves. To a specialist, however, those same patterns can reveal important information about the condition of the heart. Sometimes, subtle changes in rhythm and electrical activity can provide an early warning before a serious cardiac event occurs.
So perhaps the real idea is this: the future is not always completely hidden. Sometimes, its signals appear slightly before the event itself.
The Footprint of Money — The ECG of the Economy
Now take the same idea and apply it to financial markets. Behind almost every major economic, political, or geopolitical movement, there is a real flow of money, capital, commodities, risk, and decisions.
Before a major event becomes headline news, before the general public starts discussing it, and sometimes even before an official announcement is made, certain investors, institutions, companies, or specialized market participants may begin changing their behavior based on information, expectations, or analysis.
Eventually, that behavior can leave traces in the market: in prices, trading volume, volatility, candlestick patterns, correlations between different markets, and sometimes in movements that significantly deviate from the normal behavior of an asset.
This leads to an intriguing question:
If we can learn to read the ECG of the market, could we detect important future events earlier?
This does not mean that the market is a magical machine capable of seeing the future. The idea is different. Markets constantly record how people react to information, expectations, fear, greed, and economic decisions.
Price is therefore more than just a number. Price is the result of thousands of decisions interacting with one another.
What Do the Biggest Players See First?
When a major event happens in the world, everyone does not usually learn about it at exactly the same moment. Information moves through different networks. Some people hear about it earlier. Some analyze it earlier. Some act earlier. Others only become aware of it after a significant part of the movement has already taken place.
We usually see the result. The news appears. The price moves. The market reacts. And then everyone starts discussing why it happened. But the more interesting question is:
Was there already a trace of that event in the behavior of the market before the news became public?
If the answer is yes, that trace may resemble the subtle changes a cardiologist identifies on an ECG. To an ordinary trader, it may look like an unusual candlestick. To an analyst, it may represent a structural change in the market. To an intelligent system, it may be a statistical pattern hidden among thousands of other pieces of data.
Formiche — When the Market Starts Talking
This is where the idea behind the system I am developing begins: Formiche.
Formiche is not designed to magically predict the future. The goal is something more realistic: to identify, within an enormous amount of data, changes and patterns that may indicate the early formation of an important future event.
Daily news, stock prices, market indices, gold, oil, currencies, and different financial markets are all pieces of the same picture. But the most important element may not be the individual data points themselves—it may be the relationships between them.
A single news event may not mean much on its own. A price movement may also be nothing more than normal market noise. But when multiple independent signals begin to appear together, they can create a very different picture. This is where artificial intelligence can play an important role.
Instead of asking only, “What just happened?”, we can ask:
“Considering everything happening right now, what might the market be reacting to?”
And one step further:
“If this pattern continues, what scenario could emerge next?”
Without Being in the Room Where Decisions Are Made
This is perhaps one of the most fascinating aspects of the idea. To understand some of the world's major developments, you do not necessarily have to be inside the White House. You do not have to sit in the boardroom of a multinational corporation. You do not have to attend meetings of major investors. And you may not even need to know exactly what is happening inside the mind of a powerful decision-maker.
Perhaps you only need to learn how to read the footprints their decisions leave behind. Because major decisions eventually leave traces in the real world. Capital moves. Risk changes. Prices react. Trading volumes shift. Correlations between markets change. Together, these changes can create a picture of the expectations and behavior of larger market participants.
This is why one of the most interesting objectives of Formiche is not simply to follow events after they happen, but to search for signals that may appear before those events become obvious.
Just as a cardiologist does not wait for a heart attack to occur before looking for signs of a problem. The cardiologist reads the ECG.
A Small Experiment — Can We Really See Earlier?
An idea like this only becomes meaningful when it can be tested in the real world.
On a small scale, one of the experiments that I found particularly interesting involved the U.S. attack on Iran. Approximately five days before the event occurred, an AI-assisted analysis examined a number of signals and identified the possibility of an attack.
The prediction was recorded at the time and published in our discussion channel. In other words, it was not constructed after the event. It existed before the event occurred.
After the event, a more detailed review of the available data and signals showed a significant level of alignment between the analysis and what actually happened.
This does not mean that we have somehow gained the ability to see the future with certainty. Quite the opposite. That is precisely what makes the experiment interesting.
If a system can identify meaningful signals before a major event—even in a limited number of cases—it raises a much more important question:
Can the process be repeated? And if it can be repeated, can its accuracy be improved?
From an Experiment to a System
The ultimate goal is not for Formiche to produce an exciting prediction every day. The goal is to build an early-warning system—a system that continuously observes the world's economic and information environment and identifies situations in which multiple unusual signals begin to appear together.
Perhaps Formiche could eventually say:
“There is an unusual change in the oil market.”
“The behavior of several companies has developed an unusual correlation.”
“Recent news does not appear to match market behavior.”
“Several independent signals are pointing toward a common scenario.”
And ultimately:
“Given all these signals, which future scenario has become more likely?”
This is no longer simply technical analysis. It is not only fundamental analysis. It is not merely news analysis either. It is an attempt to build a broader picture of how the global system is behaving.
Perhaps the Future Cannot Be Predicted — But Its Signals Can Be Read
I do not know exactly what the future will look like. Nobody does. But perhaps we can do something more realistic: learn to recognize the signals of the future earlier.
Animals sense the Earth through their sensory systems. Doctors read the heart through an ECG. And perhaps we can learn to read the economy and the world through the ECG of the markets.
The footprint of money. The footprint of decisions. The footprint of fear. The footprint of greed. The footprint of news. And, most importantly, the subtle anomalies that may appear before a major movement takes place.
If this idea eventually becomes accurate and reliable enough, perhaps its real significance will be that we do not need to be physically present in the rooms where the world's biggest decisions are made. Perhaps we only need to see what those decisions leave behind in the markets—earlier than everyone else.
Because in today's world, information does not exist only in newsrooms. Sometimes, before information becomes a headline, it breathes through prices.
And perhaps the next generation of Formiche will learn to read that language.
Not so that it can know the future with certainty, but so that when something significant begins to take shape, we are not among the last to notice.
The goal is not to see the future.
The goal is to hear it beginning to form—before everyone else does.
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